Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tokushima徳島県

Higashimiyoshi 東みよし町

Data last updated:

Higashimiyoshi, Tokushima, Japan has a population of 12,706 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 11,619 by 2030 and 8,184 by 2050 (a decrease of about 39.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 36.5% in 2020 to 51.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

12,706

2030

(Projection)

11,619

▼ -14.7%

2040

(Projection)

9,926

▼ -27.1%

2050

(Projection)

8,184

▼ -39.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 36.5%→2050 51%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Higashimiyoshi Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198015,610▲ +14.6%Census
198515,827▲ +16.2%Census
199015,908▲ +16.8%Census
199515,993▲ +17.4%Census
200016,199▲ +18.9%Census
200515,626▲ +14.7%Census
201015,044▲ +10.4%Census
201514,638▲ +7.5%Census
202013,622—Census
202512,706▼ -6.7%Census
203011,619▼ -14.7%Projection
203510,786▼ -20.8%Projection
20409,926▼ -27.1%Projection
20459,049▼ -33.6%Projection
20508,184▼ -39.9%Projection

About Higashimiyoshi

Overview

Higashimiyoshi (東みよし町) is a municipality in Tokushima, Japan, with a population of 12,706 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Higashimiyoshi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Higashimiyoshi's population is expected to reach 11,619 by 2030 (-14.7%), 9,926 by 2040 (-27.1%), and 8,184 by 2050 (-39.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Higashimiyoshi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 36.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 51.0% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Higashimiyoshi's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #723 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #504 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1260 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokushima

Earnings in Tokushima (徳島県): Average salary in Tokushima (徳島県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Higashimiyoshi, Tokushima?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Higashimiyoshi has a population of 12,706.
Q.What is the population of Higashimiyoshi in 2026?
A.Higashimiyoshi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 12,489. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (12,706) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (11,619).
Q.What is the projected population of Higashimiyoshi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Higashimiyoshi's population is expected to be 11,619 in 2030, 9,926 in 2040, and 8,184 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Higashimiyoshi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Higashimiyoshi's population is projected to change by -39.9%. The 10-year change is -14.7% and the 20-year change is -27.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Higashimiyoshi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Higashimiyoshi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 36.5% to 51.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Higashimiyoshi?
A.Higashimiyoshi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 36.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 51.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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