Japan Population Decline Simulator

Fukuoka福岡県

Kasuya 粕屋町

Data last updated:

Kasuya, Fukuoka, Japan has a population of 48,490 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 50,747 by 2030 and 52,690 by 2050 (an increase of about 9.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 17.9% in 2020 to 26.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

48,490

2030

(Projection)

50,747

▲ +5.3%

2040

(Projection)

52,525

▲ +9.0%

2050

(Projection)

52,690

▲ +9.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 17.9%→2050 26.8%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kasuya Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198026,810▼ -44.4%Census
198529,027▼ -39.8%Census
199029,697▼ -38.4%Census
199531,504▼ -34.6%Census
200034,811▼ -27.8%Census
200537,685▼ -21.8%Census
201041,997▼ -12.9%Census
201545,360▼ -5.9%Census
202048,190—Census
202548,490▲ +0.6%Census
203050,747▲ +5.3%Projection
203551,826▲ +7.5%Projection
204052,525▲ +9.0%Projection
204552,834▲ +9.6%Projection
205052,690▲ +9.3%Projection

About Kasuya

Overview

Kasuya (粕屋町) is a municipality in Fukuoka, Japan, with a population of 48,490 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kasuya

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kasuya's population is expected to reach 50,747 by 2030 (+5.3%), 52,525 by 2040 (+9.0%), and 52,690 by 2050 (+9.3%). Kasuya is among the rare Japanese municipalities projected to see population growth.

Aging Rate of Kasuya

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 17.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 26.8% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kasuya's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1885 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1875 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #688 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Fukuoka

Earnings in Fukuoka (福岡県): Average salary in Fukuoka (福岡県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kasuya, Fukuoka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kasuya has a population of 48,490.
Q.What is the population of Kasuya in 2026?
A.Kasuya's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 48,941. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (48,490) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (50,747).
Q.What is the projected population of Kasuya in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kasuya's population is expected to be 50,747 in 2030, 52,525 in 2040, and 52,690 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kasuya?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kasuya's population is projected to change by +9.3%. The 10-year change is +5.3% and the 20-year change is +9.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Kasuya growing?
A.Municipalities with growing populations typically benefit from net in-migration driven by good access to major metropolitan areas, housing development, and family support policies. Kasuya is one of the minority of Japanese municipalities projected to grow through 2050.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kasuya?
A.Kasuya's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 17.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 26.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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