Nagasaki長崎県
Shimabara 島原市
Data last updated:
2020
(Census)
43,360
2030
(Projection)
38,057
▼ -12.2%
2040
(Projection)
32,543
▼ -24.9%
2050
(Projection)
27,091
▼ -37.5%
Other municipalities in Nagasaki (長崎県)
Data Sources
- Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)
* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.
About Shimabara
Overview
Shimabara (島原市) is a municipality in Nagasaki, Japan, with a population of 43,360 as of 2020.
Population Projection
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shimabara's population is expected to reach 38,057 by 2030 (-12.2%), 32,543 by 2040 (-24.9%), and 27,091 by 2050 (-37.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.
Aging Outlook
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.7% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.
National Comparison
Shimabara's population decline rate exceeds the national average.