Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagasaki長崎県

Ojika 小値賀町

Data last updated:

Ojika, Nagasaki, Japan has a population of 2,016 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 1,732 by 2030 and 963 by 2050 (a decrease of about 57.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 50.8% in 2020 to 55.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

2,016

2030

(Projection)

1,732

▼ -24.3%

2040

(Projection)

1,300

▼ -43.2%

2050

(Projection)

963

▼ -57.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 50.8%→2050 55.8%

Enter your age

See the population of 小値賀町 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Nagasaki (長崎県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Ojika Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19805,684▲ +148.4%Census
19855,101▲ +122.9%Census
19904,651▲ +103.3%Census
19954,238▲ +85.2%Census
20003,765▲ +64.6%Census
20053,268▲ +42.8%Census
20102,849▲ +24.5%Census
20152,560▲ +11.9%Census
20202,288—Census
20252,016▼ -11.9%Census
20301,732▼ -24.3%Projection
20351,504▼ -34.3%Projection
20401,300▼ -43.2%Projection
20451,117▼ -51.2%Projection
2050963▼ -57.9%Projection

About Ojika

Overview

Ojika (小値賀町) is a municipality in Nagasaki, Japan, with a population of 2,016 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Ojika

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ojika's population is expected to reach 1,732 by 2030 (-24.3%), 1,300 by 2040 (-43.2%), and 963 by 2050 (-57.9%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Ojika

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 50.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 55.8% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Ojika is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #102 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #250 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1807 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagasaki

Earnings in Nagasaki (長崎県): Average salary in Nagasaki (長崎県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Ojika, Nagasaki?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Ojika has a population of 2,016.
Q.What is the population of Ojika in 2026?
A.Ojika's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 1,959. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (2,016) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (1,732).
Q.What is the projected population of Ojika in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Ojika's population is expected to be 1,732 in 2030, 1,300 in 2040, and 963 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Ojika?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Ojika's population is projected to change by -57.9%. The 10-year change is -24.3% and the 20-year change is -43.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Ojika declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Ojika, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 50.8% to 55.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Ojika?
A.Ojika's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 50.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 55.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Nagasaki

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page