Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagasaki長崎県

Isahaya 諫早市

Data last updated:

Isahaya, Nagasaki, Japan has a population of 130,092 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 122,373 by 2030 and 93,988 by 2050 (a decrease of about 29.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.6% in 2020 to 44.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

130,092

2030

(Projection)

122,373

▼ -8.6%

2040

(Projection)

108,568

▼ -18.9%

2050

(Projection)

93,988

▼ -29.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.6%→2050 44%

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Other municipalities in Nagasaki (長崎県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Isahaya Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980127,339▼ -4.9%Census
1985134,804▲ +0.7%Census
1990138,918▲ +3.8%Census
1995142,517▲ +6.5%Census
2000144,299▲ +7.8%Census
2005144,034▲ +7.6%Census
2010140,752▲ +5.2%Census
2015138,078▲ +3.2%Census
2020133,852—Census
2025130,092▼ -2.8%Census
2030122,373▼ -8.6%Projection
2035115,644▼ -13.6%Projection
2040108,568▼ -18.9%Projection
2045101,301▼ -24.3%Projection
205093,988▼ -29.8%Projection

About Isahaya

Overview

Isahaya (諫早市) is a municipality in Nagasaki, Japan, with a population of 130,092 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Isahaya

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Isahaya's population is expected to reach 122,373 by 2030 (-8.6%), 108,568 by 2040 (-18.9%), and 93,988 by 2050 (-29.8%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Isahaya

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Isahaya's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1064 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #954 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #319 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagasaki

Earnings in Nagasaki (長崎県): Average salary in Nagasaki (長崎県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Isahaya, Nagasaki?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Isahaya has a population of 130,092.
Q.What is the population of Isahaya in 2026?
A.Isahaya's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 128,548. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (130,092) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (122,373).
Q.What is the projected population of Isahaya in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Isahaya's population is expected to be 122,373 in 2030, 108,568 in 2040, and 93,988 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Isahaya?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Isahaya's population is projected to change by -29.8%. The 10-year change is -8.6% and the 20-year change is -18.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Isahaya declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Isahaya, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.6% to 44.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Isahaya?
A.Isahaya's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 44.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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