Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kumamoto熊本県

Higashi 熊本市東区

Data last updated:

Higashi, Kumamoto, Japan has a population of 189,014 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 184,683 by 2030 and 165,521 by 2050 (a decrease of about 12.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 24.6% in 2020 to 35.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

189,014

2030

(Projection)

184,683

▼ -2.6%

2040

(Projection)

176,098

▼ -7.1%

2050

(Projection)

165,521

▼ -12.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 24.6%→2050 35.7%

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Other municipalities in Kumamoto (熊本県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Higashi Population Table (2015–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
2015190,451▲ +0.5%Census
2020189,524—Census
2025189,014▼ -0.3%Census
2030184,683▼ -2.6%Projection
2035180,668▼ -4.7%Projection
2040176,098▼ -7.1%Projection
2045171,014▼ -9.8%Projection
2050165,521▼ -12.7%Projection

About Higashi

Overview

Higashi (熊本市東区) is a municipality in Kumamoto, Japan, with a population of 189,014 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Higashi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Higashi's population is expected to reach 184,683 by 2030 (-2.6%), 176,098 by 2040 (-7.1%), and 165,521 by 2050 (-12.7%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Higashi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 24.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 35.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Higashi's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1551 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1570 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #195 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kumamoto

Earnings in Kumamoto (熊本県): Average salary in Kumamoto (熊本県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Higashi, Kumamoto?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Higashi has a population of 189,014.
Q.What is the population of Higashi in 2026?
A.Higashi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 188,148. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (189,014) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (184,683).
Q.What is the projected population of Higashi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Higashi's population is expected to be 184,683 in 2030, 176,098 in 2040, and 165,521 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Higashi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Higashi's population is projected to change by -12.7%. The 10-year change is -2.6% and the 20-year change is -7.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Higashi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Higashi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 24.6% to 35.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Higashi?
A.Higashi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 24.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 35.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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