Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kumamoto熊本県

Uki 宇城市

Data last updated:

Uki, Kumamoto, Japan has a population of 54,513 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 51,603 by 2030 and 40,339 by 2050 (a decrease of about 29.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.1% in 2020 to 42.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

54,513

2030

(Projection)

51,603

▼ -9.5%

2040

(Projection)

46,007

▼ -19.3%

2050

(Projection)

40,339

▼ -29.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.1%→2050 42.6%

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Other municipalities in Kumamoto (熊本県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Uki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198062,412▲ +9.4%Census
198563,662▲ +11.6%Census
199063,401▲ +11.2%Census
199564,008▲ +12.2%Census
200063,968▲ +12.2%Census
200563,089▲ +10.6%Census
201061,878▲ +8.5%Census
201559,756▲ +4.8%Census
202057,032—Census
202554,513▼ -4.4%Census
203051,603▼ -9.5%Projection
203548,801▼ -14.4%Projection
204046,007▼ -19.3%Projection
204543,152▼ -24.3%Projection
205040,339▼ -29.3%Projection

About Uki

Overview

Uki (宇城市) is a municipality in Kumamoto, Japan, with a population of 54,513 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Uki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Uki's population is expected to reach 51,603 by 2030 (-9.5%), 46,007 by 2040 (-19.3%), and 40,339 by 2050 (-29.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Uki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 42.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Uki's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1080 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1054 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #644 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kumamoto

Earnings in Kumamoto (熊本県): Average salary in Kumamoto (熊本県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Uki, Kumamoto?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Uki has a population of 54,513.
Q.What is the population of Uki in 2026?
A.Uki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 53,931. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (54,513) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (51,603).
Q.What is the projected population of Uki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Uki's population is expected to be 51,603 in 2030, 46,007 in 2040, and 40,339 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Uki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Uki's population is projected to change by -29.3%. The 10-year change is -9.5% and the 20-year change is -19.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Uki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Uki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.1% to 42.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Uki?
A.Uki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 42.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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