Japan Population Decline Simulator

Okinawa沖縄県

Okinawa 沖縄市

Data last updated:

Okinawa, Okinawa, Japan has a population of 141,660 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 142,720 by 2030 and 140,354 by 2050 (a decrease of about 1.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 21.1% in 2020 to 33.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

141,660

2030

(Projection)

142,720

→ 0.0%

2040

(Projection)

143,441

▲ +0.5%

2050

(Projection)

140,354

▼ -1.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 21.1%→2050 33.8%

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Other municipalities in Okinawa (沖縄県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Okinawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198094,851▼ -33.6%Census
1985101,210▼ -29.1%Census
1990105,845▼ -25.9%Census
1995115,336▼ -19.2%Census
2000119,686▼ -16.2%Census
2005126,400▼ -11.5%Census
2010130,249▼ -8.8%Census
2015139,279▼ -2.4%Census
2020142,752—Census
2025141,660▼ -0.8%Census
2030142,720→ 0.0%Projection
2035143,449▲ +0.5%Projection
2040143,441▲ +0.5%Projection
2045142,436▼ -0.2%Projection
2050140,354▼ -1.7%Projection

About Okinawa

Overview

Okinawa (沖縄市) is a municipality in Okinawa, Japan, with a population of 141,660 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Okinawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Okinawa's population is expected to reach 142,720 by 2030 (0.0%), 143,441 by 2040 (+0.5%), and 140,354 by 2050 (-1.7%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Okinawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 21.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 33.8% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Okinawa's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1777 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1684 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #284 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Okinawa

Earnings in Okinawa (沖縄県): Average salary in Okinawa (沖縄県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Okinawa, Okinawa?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Okinawa has a population of 141,660.
Q.What is the population of Okinawa in 2026?
A.Okinawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 141,872. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (141,660) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (142,720).
Q.What is the projected population of Okinawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Okinawa's population is expected to be 142,720 in 2030, 143,441 in 2040, and 140,354 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Okinawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Okinawa's population is projected to change by -1.7%. The 10-year change is 0.0% and the 20-year change is +0.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Okinawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Okinawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 21.1% to 33.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Okinawa?
A.Okinawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 21.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 33.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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