Japan Population Decline Simulator

Okinawa沖縄県

Motobu 本部町

Data last updated:

Motobu, Okinawa, Japan has a population of 11,798 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 11,358 by 2030 and 9,070 by 2050 (a decrease of about 27.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 32.9% in 2020 to 41.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

11,798

2030

(Projection)

11,358

▼ -9.4%

2040

(Projection)

10,216

▼ -18.5%

2050

(Projection)

9,070

▼ -27.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 32.9%→2050 41.6%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Motobu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198015,307▲ +22.2%Census
198515,116▲ +20.6%Census
199015,043▲ +20.1%Census
199514,718▲ +17.5%Census
200014,522▲ +15.9%Census
200514,383▲ +14.8%Census
201013,870▲ +10.7%Census
201513,536▲ +8.0%Census
202012,530—Census
202511,798▼ -5.8%Census
203011,358▼ -9.4%Projection
203510,780▼ -14.0%Projection
204010,216▼ -18.5%Projection
20459,640▼ -23.1%Projection
20509,070▼ -27.6%Projection

About Motobu

Overview

Motobu (本部町) is a municipality in Okinawa, Japan, with a population of 11,798 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Motobu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Motobu's population is expected to reach 11,358 by 2030 (-9.4%), 10,216 by 2040 (-18.5%), and 9,070 by 2050 (-27.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Motobu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 32.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 41.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Motobu's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1133 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1129 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1293 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Okinawa

Earnings in Okinawa (沖縄県): Average salary in Okinawa (沖縄県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Motobu, Okinawa?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Motobu has a population of 11,798.
Q.What is the population of Motobu in 2026?
A.Motobu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 11,710. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (11,798) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (11,358).
Q.What is the projected population of Motobu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Motobu's population is expected to be 11,358 in 2030, 10,216 in 2040, and 9,070 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Motobu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Motobu's population is projected to change by -27.6%. The 10-year change is -9.4% and the 20-year change is -18.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Motobu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Motobu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 32.9% to 41.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Motobu?
A.Motobu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 32.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 41.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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