Japan Population Decline Simulator

Okinawa沖縄県

Nakijin 今帰仁村

Data last updated:

Nakijin, Okinawa, Japan has a population of 8,904 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 8,150 by 2030 and 6,672 by 2050 (a decrease of about 25.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 33.9% to 47.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

8,904

2030

(Projection)

8,150

-8.5%

2040

(Projection)

7,403

-16.9%

2050

(Projection)

6,672

-25.1%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 33.9%2050 47%

Other municipalities in Okinawa (沖縄県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nakijin Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
20208,904Census
20258,527▼ -4.2%Projection
20308,150▼ -8.5%Projection
20357,766▼ -12.8%Projection
20407,403▼ -16.9%Projection
20457,042▼ -20.9%Projection
20506,672▼ -25.1%Projection

About Nakijin

Overview

Nakijin (今帰仁村) is a municipality in Okinawa, Japan, with a population of 8,904 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Nakijin

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nakijin's population is expected to reach 8,150 by 2030 (-8.5%), 7,403 by 2040 (-16.9%), and 6,672 by 2050 (-25.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nakijin

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 33.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nakijin's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1204 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #752 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1423 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Okinawa

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nakijin, Okinawa?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Nakijin has a population of 8,904.
Q.What is the population of Nakijin in 2026?
A.Nakijin's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 8,452. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (8,904) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (8,150).
Q.What is the projected population of Nakijin in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nakijin's population is expected to be 8,150 in 2030, 7,403 in 2040, and 6,672 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nakijin?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nakijin's population is projected to change by -25.1%. The 10-year change is -8.5% and the 20-year change is -16.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Nakijin declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nakijin, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 33.9% to 47.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nakijin?
A.Nakijin's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 33.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 47.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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