Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tochigi栃木県

Kanuma 鹿沼市

Data last updated:

Kanuma, Tochigi, Japan has a population of 89,319 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 84,972 by 2030 and 64,621 by 2050 (a decrease of about 31.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.4% in 2020 to 44.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

89,319

2030Projection

84,972

▼ -9.6%

2040Projection

75,114

▼ -20.1%

2050Projection

64,621

▼ -31.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.4%→2050 44.1%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kanuma Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198095,999▲ +2.1%Census
198598,820▲ +5.1%Census
1990101,098▲ +7.5%Census
1995104,019▲ +10.6%Census
2000104,764▲ +11.4%Census
2005104,148▲ +10.8%Census
2010102,348▲ +8.8%Census
201598,374▲ +4.6%Census
202094,033—Census
202589,319▼ -5.0%Census
203084,972▼ -9.6%Projection
203580,166▼ -14.7%Projection
204075,114▼ -20.1%Projection
204569,878▼ -25.7%Projection
205064,621▼ -31.3%Projection

About Kanuma

Overview

Kanuma (鹿沼市) is a municipality in Tochigi, Japan, with a population of 89,319 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kanuma

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kanuma's population is expected to reach 84,972 by 2030 (-9.6%), 75,114 by 2040 (-20.1%), and 64,621 by 2050 (-31.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kanuma

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kanuma's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1018 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #940 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #457 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tochigi

Earnings in Tochigi (栃木県): Average salary in Tochigi (栃木県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kanuma, Tochigi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kanuma has a population of 89,319.
Q.What is the population of Kanuma in 2026?
A.Kanuma's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 88,450. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (89,319) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (84,972).
Q.What is the projected population of Kanuma in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kanuma's population is expected to be 84,972 in 2030, 75,114 in 2040, and 64,621 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kanuma?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kanuma's population is projected to change by -31.3%. The 10-year change is -9.6% and the 20-year change is -20.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Kanuma declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kanuma, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.4% to 44.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kanuma?
A.Kanuma's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 44.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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