Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tochigi栃木県

Nasukarasuyama 那須烏山市

Data last updated:

Nasukarasuyama, Tochigi, Japan has a population of 22,137 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 20,432 by 2030 and 12,959 by 2050 (a decrease of about 47.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 37.5% in 2020 to 57.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

22,137

2030Projection

20,432

▼ -17.9%

2040Projection

16,614

▼ -33.2%

2050Projection

12,959

▼ -47.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 37.5%→2050 57.1%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nasukarasuyama Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198033,562▲ +34.9%Census
198533,854▲ +36.1%Census
199033,699▲ +35.5%Census
199533,535▲ +34.8%Census
200032,790▲ +31.8%Census
200531,152▲ +25.2%Census
201029,206▲ +17.4%Census
201527,047▲ +8.7%Census
202024,875—Census
202522,137▼ -11.0%Census
203020,432▼ -17.9%Projection
203518,508▼ -25.6%Projection
204016,614▼ -33.2%Projection
204514,731▼ -40.8%Projection
205012,959▼ -47.9%Projection

About Nasukarasuyama

Overview

Nasukarasuyama (那須烏山市) is a municipality in Tochigi, Japan, with a population of 22,137 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nasukarasuyama

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nasukarasuyama's population is expected to reach 20,432 by 2030 (-17.9%), 16,614 by 2040 (-33.2%), and 12,959 by 2050 (-47.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nasukarasuyama

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 37.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 57.1% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Nasukarasuyama is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #412 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #198 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1037 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tochigi

Earnings in Tochigi (栃木県): Average salary in Tochigi (栃木県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nasukarasuyama, Tochigi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nasukarasuyama has a population of 22,137.
Q.What is the population of Nasukarasuyama in 2026?
A.Nasukarasuyama's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 21,796. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (22,137) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (20,432).
Q.What is the projected population of Nasukarasuyama in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nasukarasuyama's population is expected to be 20,432 in 2030, 16,614 in 2040, and 12,959 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nasukarasuyama?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nasukarasuyama's population is projected to change by -47.9%. The 10-year change is -17.9% and the 20-year change is -33.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Nasukarasuyama declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nasukarasuyama, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 37.5% to 57.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nasukarasuyama?
A.Nasukarasuyama's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 37.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 57.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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