Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tochigi栃木県

Shimotsuke 下野市

Data last updated:

2020

(Census)

59,479

2030

(Projection)

57,051

-4.1%

2040

(Projection)

53,414

-10.2%

2050

(Projection)

48,870

-17.8%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 25.8%2050 38.3%

Other municipalities in Tochigi (栃木県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

About Shimotsuke

Overview

Shimotsuke (下野市) is a municipality in Tochigi, Japan, with a population of 59,479 as of 2020.

Population Projection

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shimotsuke's population is expected to reach 57,051 by 2030 (-4.1%), 53,414 by 2040 (-10.2%), and 48,870 by 2050 (-17.8%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Outlook

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 25.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 38.3% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Shimotsuke's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1410 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1387 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #626 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shimotsuke, Tochigi?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Shimotsuke has a population of 59,479.
Q.What is the projected population of Shimotsuke in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shimotsuke's population is expected to be 57,051 in 2030, 53,414 in 2040, and 48,870 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shimotsuke?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shimotsuke's population is projected to change by -17.8%. The 10-year change is -4.1% and the 20-year change is -10.2%.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shimotsuke?
A.Shimotsuke's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 25.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 38.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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