Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tochigi栃木県

Kaminokawa 上三川町

Data last updated:

Kaminokawa, Tochigi, Japan has a population of 29,737 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 29,037 by 2030 and 23,977 by 2050 (a decrease of about 22.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 23.7% in 2020 to 39.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

29,737

2030Projection

29,037

▼ -5.7%

2040Projection

26,743

▼ -13.2%

2050Projection

23,977

▼ -22.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 23.7%→2050 39.1%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kaminokawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198024,597▼ -20.2%Census
198525,229▼ -18.1%Census
199027,300▼ -11.4%Census
199527,700▼ -10.1%Census
200029,421▼ -4.5%Census
200531,592▲ +2.6%Census
201031,621▲ +2.6%Census
201531,046▲ +0.8%Census
202030,806—Census
202529,737▼ -3.5%Census
203029,037▼ -5.7%Projection
203527,948▼ -9.3%Projection
204026,743▼ -13.2%Projection
204525,424▼ -17.5%Projection
205023,977▼ -22.2%Projection

About Kaminokawa

Overview

Kaminokawa (上三川町) is a municipality in Tochigi, Japan, with a population of 29,737 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kaminokawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kaminokawa's population is expected to reach 29,037 by 2030 (-5.7%), 26,743 by 2040 (-13.2%), and 23,977 by 2050 (-22.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kaminokawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 23.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 39.1% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kaminokawa's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1287 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1326 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #912 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tochigi

Earnings in Tochigi (栃木県): Average salary in Tochigi (栃木県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kaminokawa, Tochigi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kaminokawa has a population of 29,737.
Q.What is the population of Kaminokawa in 2026?
A.Kaminokawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 29,597. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (29,737) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (29,037).
Q.What is the projected population of Kaminokawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kaminokawa's population is expected to be 29,037 in 2030, 26,743 in 2040, and 23,977 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kaminokawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kaminokawa's population is projected to change by -22.2%. The 10-year change is -5.7% and the 20-year change is -13.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Kaminokawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kaminokawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 23.7% to 39.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kaminokawa?
A.Kaminokawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 23.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 39.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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