Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamanashi山梨県

Nirasaki 韮崎市

Data last updated:

Nirasaki, Yamanashi, Japan has a population of 27,745 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 25,892 by 2030 and 19,170 by 2050 (a decrease of about 34.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.7% in 2020 to 44.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

27,745

2030

(Projection)

25,892

▼ -10.9%

2040

(Projection)

22,579

▼ -22.3%

2050

(Projection)

19,170

▼ -34.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.7%→2050 44.6%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nirasaki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198027,343▼ -5.9%Census
198528,175▼ -3.1%Census
199029,766▲ +2.4%Census
199532,097▲ +10.4%Census
200032,707▲ +12.5%Census
200533,801▲ +16.3%Census
201032,477▲ +11.7%Census
201530,680▲ +5.5%Census
202029,067—Census
202527,745▼ -4.5%Census
203025,892▼ -10.9%Projection
203524,263▼ -16.5%Projection
204022,579▼ -22.3%Projection
204520,858▼ -28.2%Projection
205019,170▼ -34.0%Projection

About Nirasaki

Overview

Nirasaki (韮崎市) is a municipality in Yamanashi, Japan, with a population of 27,745 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nirasaki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nirasaki's population is expected to reach 25,892 by 2030 (-10.9%), 22,579 by 2040 (-22.3%), and 19,170 by 2050 (-34.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nirasaki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nirasaki's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #924 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #908 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #945 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamanashi

Earnings in Yamanashi (山梨県): Average salary in Yamanashi (山梨県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nirasaki, Yamanashi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nirasaki has a population of 27,745.
Q.What is the population of Nirasaki in 2026?
A.Nirasaki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 27,374. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (27,745) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (25,892).
Q.What is the projected population of Nirasaki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nirasaki's population is expected to be 25,892 in 2030, 22,579 in 2040, and 19,170 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nirasaki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nirasaki's population is projected to change by -34.0%. The 10-year change is -10.9% and the 20-year change is -22.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Nirasaki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nirasaki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.7% to 44.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nirasaki?
A.Nirasaki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 44.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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