Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamanashi山梨県

Hokuto 北杜市

Data last updated:

Hokuto, Yamanashi, Japan has a population of 41,767 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 40,776 by 2030 and 32,364 by 2050 (a decrease of about 26.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.0% in 2020 to 52.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

41,767

2030

(Projection)

40,776

▼ -7.4%

2040

(Projection)

36,609

▼ -16.9%

2050

(Projection)

32,364

▼ -26.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 40%→2050 52.8%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Hokuto Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198044,320▲ +0.6%Census
198545,035▲ +2.2%Census
199046,200▲ +4.9%Census
199547,318▲ +7.4%Census
200047,888▲ +8.7%Census
200548,144▲ +9.3%Census
201046,968▲ +6.6%Census
201545,111▲ +2.4%Census
202044,053—Census
202541,767▼ -5.2%Census
203040,776▼ -7.4%Projection
203538,744▼ -12.1%Projection
204036,609▼ -16.9%Projection
204534,461▼ -21.8%Projection
205032,364▼ -26.5%Projection

About Hokuto

Overview

Hokuto (北杜市) is a municipality in Yamanashi, Japan, with a population of 41,767 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Hokuto

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Hokuto's population is expected to reach 40,776 by 2030 (-7.4%), 36,609 by 2040 (-16.9%), and 32,364 by 2050 (-26.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Hokuto

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 52.8% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Hokuto's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1155 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #380 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #759 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamanashi

Earnings in Yamanashi (山梨県): Average salary in Yamanashi (山梨県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Hokuto, Yamanashi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Hokuto has a population of 41,767.
Q.What is the population of Hokuto in 2026?
A.Hokuto's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 41,569. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (41,767) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (40,776).
Q.What is the projected population of Hokuto in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Hokuto's population is expected to be 40,776 in 2030, 36,609 in 2040, and 32,364 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Hokuto?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Hokuto's population is projected to change by -26.5%. The 10-year change is -7.4% and the 20-year change is -16.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Hokuto declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Hokuto, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.0% to 52.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Hokuto?
A.Hokuto's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 52.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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