Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamanashi山梨県

Kai 甲斐市

Data last updated:

Kai, Yamanashi, Japan has a population of 75,507 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 73,758 by 2030 and 65,709 by 2050 (a decrease of about 12.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 26.3% in 2020 to 37.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

75,507

2030

(Projection)

73,758

▼ -2.1%

2040

(Projection)

70,031

▼ -7.0%

2050

(Projection)

65,709

▼ -12.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 26.3%→2050 37.6%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kai Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198045,337▼ -39.8%Census
198554,291▼ -27.9%Census
199060,765▼ -19.3%Census
199566,628▼ -11.5%Census
200071,706▼ -4.8%Census
200574,062▼ -1.7%Census
201073,807▼ -2.0%Census
201574,386▼ -1.2%Census
202075,313—Census
202575,507▲ +0.3%Census
203073,758▼ -2.1%Projection
203572,049▼ -4.3%Projection
204070,031▼ -7.0%Projection
204567,921▼ -9.8%Projection
205065,709▼ -12.8%Projection

About Kai

Overview

Kai (甲斐市) is a municipality in Yamanashi, Japan, with a population of 75,507 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kai

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kai's population is expected to reach 73,758 by 2030 (-2.1%), 70,031 by 2040 (-7.0%), and 65,709 by 2050 (-12.8%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Kai

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 26.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 37.6% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kai's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1545 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1430 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #515 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamanashi

Earnings in Yamanashi (山梨県): Average salary in Yamanashi (山梨県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kai, Yamanashi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kai has a population of 75,507.
Q.What is the population of Kai in 2026?
A.Kai's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 75,157. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (75,507) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (73,758).
Q.What is the projected population of Kai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kai's population is expected to be 73,758 in 2030, 70,031 in 2040, and 65,709 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kai's population is projected to change by -12.8%. The 10-year change is -2.1% and the 20-year change is -7.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Kai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 26.3% to 37.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kai?
A.Kai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 26.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 37.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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