Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagano長野県

Matsumoto 松本市

Data last updated:

Matsumoto, Nagano, Japan has a population of 232,241 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 230,687 by 2030 and 207,208 by 2050 (a decrease of about 14.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 27.9% in 2020 to 37.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

232,241

2030

(Projection)

230,687

▼ -4.3%

2040

(Projection)

219,265

▼ -9.1%

2050

(Projection)

207,208

▼ -14.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 27.9%→2050 37.3%

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Other municipalities in Nagano (長野県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Matsumoto Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980223,496▼ -7.3%Census
1985229,917▼ -4.7%Census
1990233,756▼ -3.1%Census
1995239,539▼ -0.7%Census
2000243,465▲ +1.0%Census
2005242,541▲ +0.6%Census
2010243,037▲ +0.8%Census
2015243,293▲ +0.9%Census
2020241,145—Census
2025232,241▼ -3.7%Census
2030230,687▼ -4.3%Projection
2035225,084▼ -6.7%Projection
2040219,265▼ -9.1%Projection
2045213,304▼ -11.5%Projection
2050207,208▼ -14.1%Projection

About Matsumoto

Overview

Matsumoto (松本市) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 232,241 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Matsumoto

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Matsumoto's population is expected to reach 230,687 by 2030 (-4.3%), 219,265 by 2040 (-9.1%), and 207,208 by 2050 (-14.1%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Matsumoto

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 27.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 37.3% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Matsumoto's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1506 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1455 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #142 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Earnings in Nagano (長野県): Average salary in Nagano (長野県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Matsumoto, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Matsumoto has a population of 232,241.
Q.What is the population of Matsumoto in 2026?
A.Matsumoto's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 231,930. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (232,241) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (230,687).
Q.What is the projected population of Matsumoto in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Matsumoto's population is expected to be 230,687 in 2030, 219,265 in 2040, and 207,208 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Matsumoto?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Matsumoto's population is projected to change by -14.1%. The 10-year change is -4.3% and the 20-year change is -9.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Matsumoto declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Matsumoto, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 27.9% to 37.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Matsumoto?
A.Matsumoto's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 27.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 37.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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