Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagano長野県

Shiojiri 塩尻市

Data last updated:

Shiojiri, Nagano, Japan has a population of 65,442 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 64,684 by 2030 and 57,415 by 2050 (a decrease of about 14.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.6% in 2020 to 38.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

65,442

2030

(Projection)

64,684

▼ -3.8%

2040

(Projection)

61,370

▼ -8.7%

2050

(Projection)

57,415

▼ -14.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.6%→2050 38%

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Other municipalities in Nagano (長野県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Shiojiri Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198057,417▼ -14.6%Census
198560,329▼ -10.3%Census
199061,420▼ -8.7%Census
199564,236▼ -4.5%Census
200067,747▲ +0.8%Census
200568,346▲ +1.6%Census
201067,670▲ +0.6%Census
201567,135▼ -0.2%Census
202067,241—Census
202565,442▼ -2.7%Census
203064,684▼ -3.8%Projection
203563,146▼ -6.1%Projection
204061,370▼ -8.7%Projection
204559,460▼ -11.6%Projection
205057,415▼ -14.6%Projection

About Shiojiri

Overview

Shiojiri (塩尻市) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 65,442 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Shiojiri

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shiojiri's population is expected to reach 64,684 by 2030 (-3.8%), 61,370 by 2040 (-8.7%), and 57,415 by 2050 (-14.6%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Shiojiri

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 38.0% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Shiojiri's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1494 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1402 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #576 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Earnings in Nagano (長野県): Average salary in Nagano (長野県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shiojiri, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Shiojiri has a population of 65,442.
Q.What is the population of Shiojiri in 2026?
A.Shiojiri's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 65,290. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (65,442) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (64,684).
Q.What is the projected population of Shiojiri in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shiojiri's population is expected to be 64,684 in 2030, 61,370 in 2040, and 57,415 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shiojiri?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shiojiri's population is projected to change by -14.6%. The 10-year change is -3.8% and the 20-year change is -8.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Shiojiri declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Shiojiri, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.6% to 38.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shiojiri?
A.Shiojiri's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 38.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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