Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagano長野県

Chino 茅野市

Data last updated:

Chino, Nagano, Japan has a population of 54,409 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 53,465 by 2030 and 46,776 by 2050 (a decrease of about 17.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.5% in 2020 to 40.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

54,409

2030

(Projection)

53,465

▼ -5.2%

2040

(Projection)

50,157

▼ -11.1%

2050

(Projection)

46,776

▼ -17.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.5%→2050 40.1%

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Other municipalities in Nagano (長野県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Chino Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198043,942▼ -22.1%Census
198547,273▼ -16.2%Census
199050,064▼ -11.2%Census
199552,807▼ -6.4%Census
200054,841▼ -2.8%Census
200557,099▲ +1.2%Census
201056,391→ 0.0%Census
201555,912▼ -0.9%Census
202056,400—Census
202554,409▼ -3.5%Census
203053,465▼ -5.2%Projection
203551,839▼ -8.1%Projection
204050,157▼ -11.1%Projection
204548,461▼ -14.1%Projection
205046,776▼ -17.1%Projection

About Chino

Overview

Chino (茅野市) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 54,409 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Chino

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Chino's population is expected to reach 53,465 by 2030 (-5.2%), 50,157 by 2040 (-11.1%), and 46,776 by 2050 (-17.1%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Chino

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 40.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Chino's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1431 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1250 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #645 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Earnings in Nagano (長野県): Average salary in Nagano (長野県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Chino, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Chino has a population of 54,409.
Q.What is the population of Chino in 2026?
A.Chino's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 54,220. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (54,409) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (53,465).
Q.What is the projected population of Chino in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Chino's population is expected to be 53,465 in 2030, 50,157 in 2040, and 46,776 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Chino?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Chino's population is projected to change by -17.1%. The 10-year change is -5.2% and the 20-year change is -11.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Chino declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Chino, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.5% to 40.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Chino?
A.Chino's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 40.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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