Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aichi愛知県

Kariya 刈谷市

Data last updated:

Kariya, Aichi, Japan has a population of 152,650 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 154,984 by 2030 and 145,393 by 2050 (a decrease of about 5.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 20.6% in 2020 to 31.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

152,650

2030Projection

154,984

▲ +0.7%

2040Projection

151,845

▼ -1.3%

2050Projection

145,393

▼ -5.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 20.6%→2050 31.3%

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Other municipalities in Aichi (愛知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kariya Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980105,643▼ -31.3%Census
1985112,403▼ -26.9%Census
1990120,126▼ -21.9%Census
1995125,305▼ -18.5%Census
2000132,054▼ -14.2%Census
2005142,134▼ -7.6%Census
2010145,781▼ -5.2%Census
2015149,765▼ -2.6%Census
2020153,834—Census
2025152,650▼ -0.8%Census
2030154,984▲ +0.7%Projection
2035153,925▲ +0.1%Projection
2040151,845▼ -1.3%Projection
2045148,880▼ -3.2%Projection
2050145,393▼ -5.5%Projection

About Kariya

Overview

Kariya (刈谷市) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 152,650 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kariya

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kariya's population is expected to reach 154,984 by 2030 (+0.7%), 151,845 by 2040 (-1.3%), and 145,393 by 2050 (-5.5%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Kariya

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 20.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 31.3% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kariya's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1707 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1802 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #254 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Earnings in Aichi (愛知県): Average salary in Aichi (愛知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kariya, Aichi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kariya has a population of 152,650.
Q.What is the population of Kariya in 2026?
A.Kariya's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 153,117. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (152,650) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (154,984).
Q.What is the projected population of Kariya in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kariya's population is expected to be 154,984 in 2030, 151,845 in 2040, and 145,393 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kariya?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kariya's population is projected to change by -5.5%. The 10-year change is +0.7% and the 20-year change is -1.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Kariya declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kariya, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 20.6% to 31.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kariya?
A.Kariya's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 20.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 31.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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