Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aichi愛知県

Shinshiro 新城市

Data last updated:

Shinshiro, Aichi, Japan has a population of 40,662 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 37,412 by 2030 and 25,647 by 2050 (a decrease of about 42.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 36.2% in 2020 to 50.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

40,662

2030Projection

37,412

▼ -15.7%

2040Projection

31,351

▼ -29.3%

2050Projection

25,647

▼ -42.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 36.2%→2050 50.8%

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Other municipalities in Aichi (愛知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Shinshiro Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198054,239▲ +22.3%Census
198554,965▲ +23.9%Census
199054,583▲ +23.1%Census
199554,602▲ +23.1%Census
200053,603▲ +20.8%Census
200552,178▲ +17.6%Census
201049,864▲ +12.4%Census
201547,133▲ +6.3%Census
202044,355—Census
202540,662▼ -8.3%Census
203037,412▼ -15.7%Projection
203534,356▼ -22.5%Projection
204031,351▼ -29.3%Projection
204528,433▼ -35.9%Projection
205025,647▼ -42.2%Projection

About Shinshiro

Overview

Shinshiro (新城市) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 40,662 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Shinshiro

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shinshiro's population is expected to reach 37,412 by 2030 (-15.7%), 31,351 by 2040 (-29.3%), and 25,647 by 2050 (-42.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Shinshiro

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 36.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 50.8% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Shinshiro is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #648 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #513 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #773 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Earnings in Aichi (愛知県): Average salary in Aichi (愛知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shinshiro, Aichi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Shinshiro has a population of 40,662.
Q.What is the population of Shinshiro in 2026?
A.Shinshiro's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 40,012. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (40,662) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (37,412).
Q.What is the projected population of Shinshiro in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shinshiro's population is expected to be 37,412 in 2030, 31,351 in 2040, and 25,647 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shinshiro?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shinshiro's population is projected to change by -42.2%. The 10-year change is -15.7% and the 20-year change is -29.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Shinshiro declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Shinshiro, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 36.2% to 50.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shinshiro?
A.Shinshiro's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 36.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 50.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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