Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aichi愛知県

Kitanagoya 北名古屋市

Data last updated:

Kitanagoya, Aichi, Japan has a population of 85,678 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 86,677 by 2030 and 81,974 by 2050 (a decrease of about 5.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 24.4% in 2020 to 31.4%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

85,678

2030Projection

86,677

▲ +0.3%

2040Projection

84,720

▼ -1.9%

2050Projection

81,974

▼ -5.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 24.4%→2050 31.4%

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Other municipalities in Aichi (愛知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kitanagoya Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198069,078▼ -20.0%Census
198570,927▼ -17.9%Census
199072,582▼ -16.0%Census
199573,870▼ -14.5%Census
200075,728▼ -12.3%Census
200578,078▼ -9.6%Census
201081,571▼ -5.6%Census
201584,133▼ -2.6%Census
202086,385—Census
202585,678▼ -0.8%Census
203086,677▲ +0.3%Projection
203585,824▼ -0.6%Projection
204084,720▼ -1.9%Projection
204583,452▼ -3.4%Projection
205081,974▼ -5.1%Projection

About Kitanagoya

Overview

Kitanagoya (北名古屋市) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 85,678 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kitanagoya

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kitanagoya's population is expected to reach 86,677 by 2030 (+0.3%), 84,720 by 2040 (-1.9%), and 81,974 by 2050 (-5.1%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Kitanagoya

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 24.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 31.4% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kitanagoya's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1721 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1796 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #469 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Earnings in Aichi (愛知県): Average salary in Aichi (愛知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kitanagoya, Aichi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kitanagoya has a population of 85,678.
Q.What is the population of Kitanagoya in 2026?
A.Kitanagoya's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 85,878. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (85,678) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (86,677).
Q.What is the projected population of Kitanagoya in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kitanagoya's population is expected to be 86,677 in 2030, 84,720 in 2040, and 81,974 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kitanagoya?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kitanagoya's population is projected to change by -5.1%. The 10-year change is +0.3% and the 20-year change is -1.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Kitanagoya declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kitanagoya, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 24.4% to 31.4% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kitanagoya?
A.Kitanagoya's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 24.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 31.4% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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