Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hyogo兵庫県

Yabu 養父市

Data last updated:

Yabu, Hyogo, Japan has a population of 22,137 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 18,187 by 2030 and 11,694 by 2050 (a decrease of about 47.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 39.6% to 51.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

22,137

2030

(Projection)

18,187

-17.8%

2040

(Projection)

14,762

-33.3%

2050

(Projection)

11,694

-47.2%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 39.6%2050 51.8%

Other municipalities in Hyogo (兵庫県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Yabu Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
202022,137Census
202519,999▼ -9.7%Projection
203018,187▼ -17.8%Projection
203516,441▼ -25.7%Projection
204014,762▼ -33.3%Projection
204513,191▼ -40.4%Projection
205011,694▼ -47.2%Projection

About Yabu

Overview

Yabu (養父市) is a municipality in Hyogo, Japan, with a population of 22,137 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Yabu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Yabu's population is expected to reach 18,187 by 2030 (-17.8%), 14,762 by 2040 (-33.3%), and 11,694 by 2050 (-47.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Yabu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 39.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 51.8% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Yabu is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #445 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #436 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1068 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hyogo

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Yabu, Hyogo?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Yabu has a population of 22,137.
Q.What is the population of Yabu in 2026?
A.Yabu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 19,637. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (22,137) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (18,187).
Q.What is the projected population of Yabu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Yabu's population is expected to be 18,187 in 2030, 14,762 in 2040, and 11,694 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Yabu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Yabu's population is projected to change by -47.2%. The 10-year change is -17.8% and the 20-year change is -33.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Yabu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Yabu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 39.6% to 51.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Yabu?
A.Yabu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 39.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 51.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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