Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hyogo兵庫県

Minamiawaji 南あわじ市

Data last updated:

Minamiawaji, Hyogo, Japan has a population of 41,037 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 38,235 by 2030 and 26,986 by 2050 (a decrease of about 38.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 36.5% in 2020 to 48.5%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

41,037

2030

(Projection)

38,235

▼ -13.4%

2040

(Projection)

32,480

▼ -26.4%

2050

(Projection)

26,986

▼ -38.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 36.5%→2050 48.5%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Minamiawaji Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198057,744▲ +30.8%Census
198557,690▲ +30.7%Census
199057,526▲ +30.3%Census
199556,664▲ +28.4%Census
200054,979▲ +24.6%Census
200552,283▲ +18.5%Census
201049,834▲ +12.9%Census
201546,912▲ +6.3%Census
202044,137—Census
202541,037▼ -7.0%Census
203038,235▼ -13.4%Projection
203535,336▼ -19.9%Projection
204032,480▼ -26.4%Projection
204529,665▼ -32.8%Projection
205026,986▼ -38.9%Projection

About Minamiawaji

Overview

Minamiawaji (南あわじ市) is a municipality in Hyogo, Japan, with a population of 41,037 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Minamiawaji

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Minamiawaji's population is expected to reach 38,235 by 2030 (-13.4%), 32,480 by 2040 (-26.4%), and 26,986 by 2050 (-38.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Minamiawaji

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 36.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 48.5% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Minamiawaji's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #759 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #663 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #770 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hyogo

Earnings in Hyogo (兵庫県): Average salary in Hyogo (兵庫県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Minamiawaji, Hyogo?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Minamiawaji has a population of 41,037.
Q.What is the population of Minamiawaji in 2026?
A.Minamiawaji's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 40,477. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (41,037) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (38,235).
Q.What is the projected population of Minamiawaji in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Minamiawaji's population is expected to be 38,235 in 2030, 32,480 in 2040, and 26,986 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Minamiawaji?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Minamiawaji's population is projected to change by -38.9%. The 10-year change is -13.4% and the 20-year change is -26.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Minamiawaji declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Minamiawaji, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 36.5% to 48.5% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Minamiawaji?
A.Minamiawaji's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 36.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 48.5% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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