Japan Population Decline Simulator

Okayama岡山県

Kagamino 鏡野町

Data last updated:

Kagamino, Okayama, Japan has a population of 11,121 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 10,774 by 2030 and 8,416 by 2050 (a decrease of about 30.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 38.7% in 2020 to 41.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

11,121

2030Projection

10,774

▼ -10.7%

2040Projection

9,569

▼ -20.7%

2050Projection

8,416

▼ -30.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 38.7%→2050 41.6%

Enter your age

See the population of 鏡野町 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Okayama (岡山県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kagamino Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198017,493▲ +45.0%Census
198517,457▲ +44.7%Census
199016,500▲ +36.8%Census
199515,731▲ +30.4%Census
200015,091▲ +25.1%Census
200514,059▲ +16.6%Census
201013,580▲ +12.6%Census
201512,847▲ +6.5%Census
202012,062—Census
202511,121▼ -7.8%Census
203010,774▼ -10.7%Projection
203510,170▼ -15.7%Projection
20409,569▼ -20.7%Projection
20458,977▼ -25.6%Projection
20508,416▼ -30.2%Projection

About Kagamino

Overview

Kagamino (鏡野町) is a municipality in Okayama, Japan, with a population of 11,121 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kagamino

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kagamino's population is expected to reach 10,774 by 2030 (-10.7%), 9,569 by 2040 (-20.7%), and 8,416 by 2050 (-30.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kagamino

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 38.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 41.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kagamino's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1051 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1126 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1309 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Okayama

Earnings in Okayama (岡山県): Average salary in Okayama (岡山県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kagamino, Okayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kagamino has a population of 11,121.
Q.What is the population of Kagamino in 2026?
A.Kagamino's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 11,052. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (11,121) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (10,774).
Q.What is the projected population of Kagamino in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kagamino's population is expected to be 10,774 in 2030, 9,569 in 2040, and 8,416 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kagamino?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kagamino's population is projected to change by -30.2%. The 10-year change is -10.7% and the 20-year change is -20.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Kagamino declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kagamino, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 38.7% to 41.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kagamino?
A.Kagamino's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 38.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 41.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Okayama

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page