Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamaguchi山口県

Nagato 長門市

Data last updated:

Nagato, Yamaguchi, Japan has a population of 28,791 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 26,345 by 2030 and 16,197 by 2050 (a decrease of about 50.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 44.1% in 2020 to 54.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

28,791

2030

(Projection)

26,345

▼ -19.0%

2040

(Projection)

20,928

▼ -35.6%

2050

(Projection)

16,197

▼ -50.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 44.1%→2050 54.9%

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Other municipalities in Yamaguchi (山口県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nagato Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198050,892▲ +56.5%Census
198550,259▲ +54.6%Census
199047,656▲ +46.5%Census
199545,565▲ +40.1%Census
200043,473▲ +33.7%Census
200541,127▲ +26.5%Census
201038,349▲ +17.9%Census
201535,439▲ +9.0%Census
202032,519—Census
202528,791▼ -11.5%Census
203026,345▼ -19.0%Projection
203523,572▼ -27.5%Projection
204020,928▼ -35.6%Projection
204518,433▼ -43.3%Projection
205016,197▼ -50.2%Projection

About Nagato

Overview

Nagato (長門市) is a municipality in Yamaguchi, Japan, with a population of 28,791 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nagato

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nagato's population is expected to reach 26,345 by 2030 (-19.0%), 20,928 by 2040 (-35.6%), and 16,197 by 2050 (-50.2%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Nagato

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 44.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 54.9% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Nagato is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #337 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #283 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #930 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamaguchi

Earnings in Yamaguchi (山口県): Average salary in Yamaguchi (山口県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nagato, Yamaguchi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nagato has a population of 28,791.
Q.What is the population of Nagato in 2026?
A.Nagato's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 28,302. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (28,791) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (26,345).
Q.What is the projected population of Nagato in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nagato's population is expected to be 26,345 in 2030, 20,928 in 2040, and 16,197 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nagato?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nagato's population is projected to change by -50.2%. The 10-year change is -19.0% and the 20-year change is -35.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Nagato declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nagato, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 44.1% to 54.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nagato?
A.Nagato's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 44.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 54.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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