Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamaguchi山口県

Yanai 柳井市

Data last updated:

Yanai, Yamaguchi, Japan has a population of 28,512 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 26,548 by 2030 and 19,224 by 2050 (a decrease of about 37.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 39.2% in 2020 to 48.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

28,512

2030

(Projection)

26,548

▼ -13.8%

2040

(Projection)

22,729

▼ -26.2%

2050

(Projection)

19,224

▼ -37.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 39.2%→2050 48%

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Other municipalities in Yamaguchi (山口県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Yanai Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198042,912▲ +39.3%Census
198541,798▲ +35.7%Census
199040,478▲ +31.4%Census
199538,963▲ +26.5%Census
200037,251▲ +20.9%Census
200535,927▲ +16.6%Census
201034,730▲ +12.8%Census
201532,945▲ +7.0%Census
202030,799—Census
202528,512▼ -7.4%Census
203026,548▼ -13.8%Projection
203524,629▼ -20.0%Projection
204022,729▼ -26.2%Projection
204520,944▼ -32.0%Projection
205019,224▼ -37.6%Projection

About Yanai

Overview

Yanai (柳井市) is a municipality in Yamaguchi, Japan, with a population of 28,512 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Yanai

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Yanai's population is expected to reach 26,548 by 2030 (-13.8%), 22,729 by 2040 (-26.2%), and 19,224 by 2050 (-37.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Yanai

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 39.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 48.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Yanai's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #807 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #690 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #935 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamaguchi

Earnings in Yamaguchi (山口県): Average salary in Yamaguchi (山口県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Yanai, Yamaguchi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Yanai has a population of 28,512.
Q.What is the population of Yanai in 2026?
A.Yanai's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 28,119. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (28,512) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (26,548).
Q.What is the projected population of Yanai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Yanai's population is expected to be 26,548 in 2030, 22,729 in 2040, and 19,224 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Yanai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Yanai's population is projected to change by -37.6%. The 10-year change is -13.8% and the 20-year change is -26.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Yanai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Yanai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 39.2% to 48.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Yanai?
A.Yanai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 39.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 48.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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