Japan Population Decline Simulator

Fukuoka福岡県

Hirokawa 広川町

Data last updated:

Hirokawa, Fukuoka, Japan has a population of 19,988 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 18,917 by 2030 and 16,184 by 2050 (a decrease of about 19.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.2% to 40.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

19,988

2030

(Projection)

18,917

-5.4%

2040

(Projection)

17,651

-11.7%

2050

(Projection)

16,184

-19.0%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.2%2050 40.6%

Other municipalities in Fukuoka (福岡県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Hirokawa Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
202019,988Census
202519,503▼ -2.4%Projection
203018,917▼ -5.4%Projection
203518,296▼ -8.5%Projection
204017,651▼ -11.7%Projection
204516,939▼ -15.3%Projection
205016,184▼ -19.0%Projection

About Hirokawa

Overview

Hirokawa (広川町) is a municipality in Fukuoka, Japan, with a population of 19,988 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Hirokawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Hirokawa's population is expected to reach 18,917 by 2030 (-5.4%), 17,651 by 2040 (-11.7%), and 16,184 by 2050 (-19.0%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Hirokawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 40.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Hirokawa's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1379 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1208 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1104 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Fukuoka

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Hirokawa, Fukuoka?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Hirokawa has a population of 19,988.
Q.What is the population of Hirokawa in 2026?
A.Hirokawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 19,386. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (19,988) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (18,917).
Q.What is the projected population of Hirokawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Hirokawa's population is expected to be 18,917 in 2030, 17,651 in 2040, and 16,184 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Hirokawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Hirokawa's population is projected to change by -19.0%. The 10-year change is -5.4% and the 20-year change is -11.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Hirokawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Hirokawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.2% to 40.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Hirokawa?
A.Hirokawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 40.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Fukuoka

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page