Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kumamoto熊本県

Yamato 山都町

Data last updated:

Yamato, Kumamoto, Japan has a population of 11,665 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 10,312 by 2030 and 5,466 by 2050 (a decrease of about 59.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 50.4% in 2020 to 60.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

11,665

2030

(Projection)

10,312

▼ -23.6%

2040

(Projection)

7,682

▼ -43.1%

2050

(Projection)

5,466

▼ -59.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 50.4%→2050 60.1%

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Other municipalities in Kumamoto (熊本県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Yamato Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198026,336▲ +95.0%Census
198525,282▲ +87.2%Census
199023,503▲ +74.1%Census
199521,746▲ +61.0%Census
200020,333▲ +50.6%Census
200518,761▲ +38.9%Census
201016,981▲ +25.8%Census
201515,149▲ +12.2%Census
202013,503—Census
202511,665▼ -13.6%Census
203010,312▼ -23.6%Projection
20358,934▼ -33.8%Projection
20407,682▼ -43.1%Projection
20456,522▼ -51.7%Projection
20505,466▼ -59.5%Projection

About Yamato

Overview

Yamato (山都町) is a municipality in Kumamoto, Japan, with a population of 11,665 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Yamato

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Yamato's population is expected to reach 10,312 by 2030 (-23.6%), 7,682 by 2040 (-43.1%), and 5,466 by 2050 (-59.5%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Yamato

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 50.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 60.1% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Yamato is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #74 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #104 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1295 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kumamoto

Earnings in Kumamoto (熊本県): Average salary in Kumamoto (熊本県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Yamato, Kumamoto?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Yamato has a population of 11,665.
Q.What is the population of Yamato in 2026?
A.Yamato's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 11,394. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (11,665) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (10,312).
Q.What is the projected population of Yamato in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Yamato's population is expected to be 10,312 in 2030, 7,682 in 2040, and 5,466 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Yamato?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Yamato's population is projected to change by -59.5%. The 10-year change is -23.6% and the 20-year change is -43.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Yamato declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Yamato, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 50.4% to 60.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Yamato?
A.Yamato's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 50.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 60.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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