Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kagoshima鹿児島県

Aira 姶良市

Data last updated:

Aira, Kagoshima, Japan has a population of 76,868 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 73,747 by 2030 and 64,544 by 2050 (a decrease of about 15.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 31.5% in 2020 to 39.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

76,868

2030

(Projection)

73,747

▼ -3.4%

2040

(Projection)

69,185

▼ -9.4%

2050

(Projection)

64,544

▼ -15.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 31.5%→2050 39.1%

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Other municipalities in Kagoshima (鹿児島県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Aira Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198062,992▼ -17.5%Census
198566,830▼ -12.5%Census
199068,789▼ -9.9%Census
199571,762▼ -6.0%Census
200073,640▼ -3.5%Census
200574,840▼ -2.0%Census
201074,809▼ -2.0%Census
201575,173▼ -1.5%Census
202076,348—Census
202576,868▲ +0.7%Census
203073,747▼ -3.4%Projection
203571,563▼ -6.3%Projection
204069,185▼ -9.4%Projection
204566,844▼ -12.4%Projection
205064,544▼ -15.5%Projection

About Aira

Overview

Aira (姶良市) is a municipality in Kagoshima, Japan, with a population of 76,868 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Aira

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Aira's population is expected to reach 73,747 by 2030 (-3.4%), 69,185 by 2040 (-9.4%), and 64,544 by 2050 (-15.5%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Aira

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 31.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 39.1% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Aira's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1469 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1335 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #507 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kagoshima

Earnings in Kagoshima (鹿児島県): Average salary in Kagoshima (鹿児島県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Aira, Kagoshima?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Aira has a population of 76,868.
Q.What is the population of Aira in 2026?
A.Aira's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 76,244. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (76,868) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (73,747).
Q.What is the projected population of Aira in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Aira's population is expected to be 73,747 in 2030, 69,185 in 2040, and 64,544 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Aira?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Aira's population is projected to change by -15.5%. The 10-year change is -3.4% and the 20-year change is -9.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Aira declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Aira, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 31.5% to 39.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Aira?
A.Aira's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 31.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 39.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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