Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kagoshima鹿児島県

Satsuma さつま町

Data last updated:

Satsuma, Kagoshima, Japan has a population of 17,566 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 15,840 by 2030 and 10,222 by 2050 (a decrease of about 49.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 41.8% in 2020 to 51.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

17,566

2030

(Projection)

15,840

▼ -21.8%

2040

(Projection)

12,866

▼ -36.4%

2050

(Projection)

10,222

▼ -49.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 41.8%→2050 51.2%

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Other municipalities in Kagoshima (鹿児島県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Satsuma Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198030,650▲ +51.4%Census
198530,284▲ +49.6%Census
199029,063▲ +43.6%Census
199528,141▲ +39.0%Census
200027,331▲ +35.0%Census
200525,688▲ +26.9%Census
201024,109▲ +19.1%Census
201522,400▲ +10.7%Census
202020,243—Census
202517,566▼ -13.2%Census
203015,840▼ -21.8%Projection
203514,289▼ -29.4%Projection
204012,866▼ -36.4%Projection
204511,502▼ -43.2%Projection
205010,222▼ -49.5%Projection

About Satsuma

Overview

Satsuma (さつま町) is a municipality in Kagoshima, Japan, with a population of 17,566 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Satsuma

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Satsuma's population is expected to reach 15,840 by 2030 (-21.8%), 12,866 by 2040 (-36.4%), and 10,222 by 2050 (-49.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Satsuma

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 41.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 51.2% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Satsuma is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #362 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #491 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1122 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kagoshima

Earnings in Kagoshima (鹿児島県): Average salary in Kagoshima (鹿児島県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Satsuma, Kagoshima?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Satsuma has a population of 17,566.
Q.What is the population of Satsuma in 2026?
A.Satsuma's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 17,221. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (17,566) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (15,840).
Q.What is the projected population of Satsuma in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Satsuma's population is expected to be 15,840 in 2030, 12,866 in 2040, and 10,222 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Satsuma?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Satsuma's population is projected to change by -49.5%. The 10-year change is -21.8% and the 20-year change is -36.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Satsuma declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Satsuma, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 41.8% to 51.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Satsuma?
A.Satsuma's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 41.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 51.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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