Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamagata山形県

Yamagata 山形市

Data last updated:

Yamagata, Yamagata, Japan has a population of 235,431 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 233,788 by 2030 and 198,986 by 2050 (a decrease of about 19.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 29.6% in 2020 to 39.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

235,431

2030

(Projection)

233,788

▼ -5.6%

2040

(Projection)

217,457

▼ -12.2%

2050

(Projection)

198,986

▼ -19.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 29.6%→2050 39.6%

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Other municipalities in Yamagata (山形県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Yamagata Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980237,041▼ -4.3%Census
1985245,158▼ -1.0%Census
1990249,487▲ +0.8%Census
1995254,488▲ +2.8%Census
2000255,369▲ +3.1%Census
2005256,012▲ +3.4%Census
2010254,244▲ +2.7%Census
2015253,832▲ +2.5%Census
2020247,590—Census
2025235,431▼ -4.9%Census
2030233,788▼ -5.6%Projection
2035225,937▼ -8.7%Projection
2040217,457▼ -12.2%Projection
2045208,453▼ -15.8%Projection
2050198,986▼ -19.6%Projection

About Yamagata

Overview

Yamagata (山形市) is a municipality in Yamagata, Japan, with a population of 235,431 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Yamagata

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Yamagata's population is expected to reach 233,788 by 2030 (-5.6%), 217,457 by 2040 (-12.2%), and 198,986 by 2050 (-19.6%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Yamagata

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 29.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 39.6% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Yamagata's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1361 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1294 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #139 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamagata

Earnings in Yamagata (山形県): Average salary in Yamagata (山形県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Yamagata, Yamagata?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Yamagata has a population of 235,431.
Q.What is the population of Yamagata in 2026?
A.Yamagata's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 235,102. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (235,431) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (233,788).
Q.What is the projected population of Yamagata in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Yamagata's population is expected to be 233,788 in 2030, 217,457 in 2040, and 198,986 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Yamagata?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Yamagata's population is projected to change by -19.6%. The 10-year change is -5.6% and the 20-year change is -12.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Yamagata declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Yamagata, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 29.6% to 39.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Yamagata?
A.Yamagata's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 29.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 39.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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