Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamagata山形県

Higashine 東根市

Data last updated:

Higashine, Yamagata, Japan has a population of 47,386 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 46,250 by 2030 and 41,769 by 2050 (a decrease of about 12.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.3% in 2020 to 37.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

47,386

2030

(Projection)

46,250

▼ -3.0%

2040

(Projection)

44,382

▼ -6.9%

2050

(Projection)

41,769

▼ -12.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.3%→2050 37.1%

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Other municipalities in Yamagata (山形県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Higashine Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198040,559▼ -14.9%Census
198541,874▼ -12.2%Census
199042,751▼ -10.3%Census
199543,208▼ -9.4%Census
200044,800▼ -6.0%Census
200545,834▼ -3.9%Census
201046,414▼ -2.7%Census
201547,768▲ +0.2%Census
202047,682—Census
202547,386▼ -0.6%Census
203046,250▼ -3.0%Projection
203545,352▼ -4.9%Projection
204044,382▼ -6.9%Projection
204543,188▼ -9.4%Projection
205041,769▼ -12.4%Projection

About Higashine

Overview

Higashine (東根市) is a municipality in Yamagata, Japan, with a population of 47,386 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Higashine

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Higashine's population is expected to reach 46,250 by 2030 (-3.0%), 44,382 by 2040 (-6.9%), and 41,769 by 2050 (-12.4%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Higashine

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 37.1% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Higashine's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1557 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1469 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #703 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamagata

Earnings in Yamagata (山形県): Average salary in Yamagata (山形県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Higashine, Yamagata?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Higashine has a population of 47,386.
Q.What is the population of Higashine in 2026?
A.Higashine's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 47,159. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (47,386) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (46,250).
Q.What is the projected population of Higashine in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Higashine's population is expected to be 46,250 in 2030, 44,382 in 2040, and 41,769 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Higashine?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Higashine's population is projected to change by -12.4%. The 10-year change is -3.0% and the 20-year change is -6.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Higashine declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Higashine, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.3% to 37.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Higashine?
A.Higashine's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 37.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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