Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamagata山形県

Nishikawa 西川町

Data last updated:

Nishikawa, Yamagata, Japan has a population of 4,251 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,735 by 2030 and 1,987 by 2050 (a decrease of about 59.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 45.7% in 2020 to 60.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

4,251

2030

(Projection)

3,735

▼ -24.6%

2040

(Projection)

2,789

▼ -43.7%

2050

(Projection)

1,987

▼ -59.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 45.7%→2050 60%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nishikawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19809,473▲ +91.1%Census
19859,511▲ +91.9%Census
19908,554▲ +72.6%Census
19958,208▲ +65.6%Census
20007,452▲ +50.4%Census
20056,917▲ +39.6%Census
20106,270▲ +26.5%Census
20155,636▲ +13.7%Census
20204,956—Census
20254,251▼ -14.2%Census
20303,735▼ -24.6%Projection
20353,239▼ -34.6%Projection
20402,789▼ -43.7%Projection
20452,374▼ -52.1%Projection
20501,987▼ -59.9%Projection

About Nishikawa

Overview

Nishikawa (西川町) is a municipality in Yamagata, Japan, with a population of 4,251 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nishikawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nishikawa's population is expected to reach 3,735 by 2030 (-24.6%), 2,789 by 2040 (-43.7%), and 1,987 by 2050 (-59.9%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Nishikawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 45.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 60.0% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Nishikawa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #70 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #105 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1641 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamagata

Earnings in Yamagata (山形県): Average salary in Yamagata (山形県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nishikawa, Yamagata?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nishikawa has a population of 4,251.
Q.What is the population of Nishikawa in 2026?
A.Nishikawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 4,148. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (4,251) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,735).
Q.What is the projected population of Nishikawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nishikawa's population is expected to be 3,735 in 2030, 2,789 in 2040, and 1,987 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nishikawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nishikawa's population is projected to change by -59.9%. The 10-year change is -24.6% and the 20-year change is -43.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Nishikawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nishikawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 45.7% to 60.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nishikawa?
A.Nishikawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 45.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 60.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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