Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tokyo東京都

Kokubunji 国分寺市

Data last updated:

Kokubunji, Tokyo, Japan has a population of 128,033 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 132,981 by 2030 and 130,403 by 2050 (an increase of about 0.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 21.7% in 2020 to 29.4%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

128,033

2030Projection

132,981

▲ +2.9%

2040Projection

133,144

▲ +3.0%

2050Projection

130,403

▲ +0.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 21.7%→2050 29.4%

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Other municipalities in Tokyo (東京都)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kokubunji Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198091,010▼ -29.6%Census
198595,467▼ -26.1%Census
1990100,982▼ -21.9%Census
1995105,786▼ -18.1%Census
2000111,404▼ -13.8%Census
2005117,604▼ -9.0%Census
2010120,650▼ -6.6%Census
2015122,742▼ -5.0%Census
2020129,242—Census
2025128,033▼ -0.9%Census
2030132,981▲ +2.9%Projection
2035133,480▲ +3.3%Projection
2040133,144▲ +3.0%Projection
2045131,964▲ +2.1%Projection
2050130,403▲ +0.9%Projection

About Kokubunji

Overview

Kokubunji (国分寺市) is a municipality in Tokyo, Japan, with a population of 128,033 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kokubunji

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kokubunji's population is expected to reach 132,981 by 2030 (+2.9%), 133,144 by 2040 (+3.0%), and 130,403 by 2050 (+0.9%). Kokubunji is among the rare Japanese municipalities projected to see population growth.

Aging Rate of Kokubunji

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 21.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 29.4% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kokubunji's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1807 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1842 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #329 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokyo

Earnings in Tokyo (東京都): Average salary in Tokyo (東京都) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kokubunji, Tokyo?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kokubunji has a population of 128,033.
Q.What is the population of Kokubunji in 2026?
A.Kokubunji's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 129,023. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (128,033) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (132,981).
Q.What is the projected population of Kokubunji in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kokubunji's population is expected to be 132,981 in 2030, 133,144 in 2040, and 130,403 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kokubunji?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kokubunji's population is projected to change by +0.9%. The 10-year change is +2.9% and the 20-year change is +3.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Kokubunji growing?
A.Municipalities with growing populations typically benefit from net in-migration driven by good access to major metropolitan areas, housing development, and family support policies. Kokubunji is one of the minority of Japanese municipalities projected to grow through 2050.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kokubunji?
A.Kokubunji's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 21.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 29.4% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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