Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tokyo東京都

Higashikurume 東久留米市

Data last updated:

Higashikurume, Tokyo, Japan has a population of 115,239 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 111,745 by 2030 and 105,467 by 2050 (a decrease of about 8.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.8% in 2020 to 35.5%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

115,239

2030Projection

111,745

▼ -3.1%

2040Projection

108,383

▼ -6.0%

2050Projection

105,467

▼ -8.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.8%→2050 35.5%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Higashikurume Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980106,556▼ -7.6%Census
1985110,079▼ -4.5%Census
1990113,818▼ -1.3%Census
1995111,097▼ -3.6%Census
2000113,302▼ -1.7%Census
2005115,330▲ +0.1%Census
2010116,546▲ +1.1%Census
2015116,632▲ +1.2%Census
2020115,271—Census
2025115,239→ 0.0%Census
2030111,745▼ -3.1%Projection
2035109,977▼ -4.6%Projection
2040108,383▼ -6.0%Projection
2045106,934▼ -7.2%Projection
2050105,467▼ -8.5%Projection

About Higashikurume

Overview

Higashikurume (東久留米市) is a municipality in Tokyo, Japan, with a population of 115,239 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Higashikurume

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Higashikurume's population is expected to reach 111,745 by 2030 (-3.1%), 108,383 by 2040 (-6.0%), and 105,467 by 2050 (-8.5%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Higashikurume

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 35.5% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Higashikurume's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1651 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1580 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #354 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokyo

Earnings in Tokyo (東京都): Average salary in Tokyo (東京都) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Higashikurume, Tokyo?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Higashikurume has a population of 115,239.
Q.What is the population of Higashikurume in 2026?
A.Higashikurume's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 114,540. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (115,239) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (111,745).
Q.What is the projected population of Higashikurume in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Higashikurume's population is expected to be 111,745 in 2030, 108,383 in 2040, and 105,467 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Higashikurume?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Higashikurume's population is projected to change by -8.5%. The 10-year change is -3.1% and the 20-year change is -6.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Higashikurume declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Higashikurume, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.8% to 35.5% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Higashikurume?
A.Higashikurume's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 35.5% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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