Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagano長野県

Urugi 売木村

Data last updated:

Urugi, Nagano, Japan has a population of 451 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 444 by 2030 and 343 by 2050 (a decrease of about 37.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 48.2% in 2020 to 47.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

451

2030

(Projection)

444

▼ -19.0%

2040

(Projection)

382

▼ -30.3%

2050

(Projection)

343

▼ -37.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 48.2%→2050 47.2%

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Other municipalities in Nagano (長野県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Urugi Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980828▲ +51.1%Census
1985788▲ +43.8%Census
1990743▲ +35.6%Census
1995756▲ +38.0%Census
2000741▲ +35.2%Census
2005735▲ +34.1%Census
2010656▲ +19.7%Census
2015575▲ +4.9%Census
2020548—Census
2025451▼ -17.7%Census
2030444▼ -19.0%Projection
2035409▼ -25.4%Projection
2040382▼ -30.3%Projection
2045357▼ -34.9%Projection
2050343▼ -37.4%Projection

About Urugi

Overview

Urugi (売木村) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 451 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Urugi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Urugi's population is expected to reach 444 by 2030 (-19.0%), 382 by 2040 (-30.3%), and 343 by 2050 (-37.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Urugi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 48.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Urugi's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #813 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #740 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1904 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Earnings in Nagano (長野県): Average salary in Nagano (長野県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Urugi, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Urugi has a population of 451.
Q.What is the population of Urugi in 2026?
A.Urugi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 450. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (451) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (444).
Q.What is the projected population of Urugi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Urugi's population is expected to be 444 in 2030, 382 in 2040, and 343 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Urugi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Urugi's population is projected to change by -37.4%. The 10-year change is -19.0% and the 20-year change is -30.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Urugi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Urugi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 48.2% to 47.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Urugi?
A.Urugi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 48.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 47.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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