Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aichi愛知県

Tsushima 津島市

Data last updated:

Tsushima, Aichi, Japan has a population of 60,958 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 55,106 by 2030 and 42,290 by 2050 (a decrease of about 30.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.2% to 46.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

60,958

2030

(Projection)

55,106

-9.6%

2040

(Projection)

48,679

-20.1%

2050

(Projection)

42,290

-30.6%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.2%2050 46.2%

Other municipalities in Aichi (愛知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Tsushima Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
202060,958Census
202558,202▼ -4.5%Projection
203055,106▼ -9.6%Projection
203551,887▼ -14.9%Projection
204048,679▼ -20.1%Projection
204545,485▼ -25.4%Projection
205042,290▼ -30.6%Projection

About Tsushima

Overview

Tsushima (津島市) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 60,958 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Tsushima

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tsushima's population is expected to reach 55,106 by 2030 (-9.6%), 48,679 by 2040 (-20.1%), and 42,290 by 2050 (-30.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Tsushima

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 46.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Tsushima's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1037 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #810 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #614 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tsushima, Aichi?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Tsushima has a population of 60,958.
Q.What is the population of Tsushima in 2026?
A.Tsushima's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 57,583. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (60,958) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (55,106).
Q.What is the projected population of Tsushima in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tsushima's population is expected to be 55,106 in 2030, 48,679 in 2040, and 42,290 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tsushima?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tsushima's population is projected to change by -30.6%. The 10-year change is -9.6% and the 20-year change is -20.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Tsushima declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tsushima, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.2% to 46.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tsushima?
A.Tsushima's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 46.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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