Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aichi愛知県

Tokoname 常滑市

Data last updated:

Tokoname, Aichi, Japan has a population of 57,815 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 58,488 by 2030 and 59,092 by 2050 (an increase of about 0.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 25.4% in 2020 to 30.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

57,815

2030Projection

58,488

▼ -0.4%

2040Projection

59,287

▲ +1.0%

2050Projection

59,092

▲ +0.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 25.4%→2050 30.7%

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Other municipalities in Aichi (愛知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Tokoname Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198054,345▼ -7.4%Census
198553,077▼ -9.6%Census
199051,784▼ -11.8%Census
199550,854▼ -13.4%Census
200050,183▼ -14.5%Census
200551,265▼ -12.7%Census
201054,858▼ -6.6%Census
201556,547▼ -3.7%Census
202058,710—Census
202557,815▼ -1.5%Census
203058,488▼ -0.4%Projection
203559,005▲ +0.5%Projection
204059,287▲ +1.0%Projection
204559,309▲ +1.0%Projection
205059,092▲ +0.7%Projection

About Tokoname

Overview

Tokoname (常滑市) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 57,815 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tokoname

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tokoname's population is expected to reach 58,488 by 2030 (-0.4%), 59,287 by 2040 (+1.0%), and 59,092 by 2050 (+0.7%). Tokoname is among the rare Japanese municipalities projected to see population growth.

Aging Rate of Tokoname

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 25.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 30.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Tokoname's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1803 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1815 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #617 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Earnings in Aichi (愛知県): Average salary in Aichi (愛知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tokoname, Aichi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tokoname has a population of 57,815.
Q.What is the population of Tokoname in 2026?
A.Tokoname's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 57,950. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (57,815) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (58,488).
Q.What is the projected population of Tokoname in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tokoname's population is expected to be 58,488 in 2030, 59,287 in 2040, and 59,092 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tokoname?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tokoname's population is projected to change by +0.7%. The 10-year change is -0.4% and the 20-year change is +1.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Tokoname growing?
A.Municipalities with growing populations typically benefit from net in-migration driven by good access to major metropolitan areas, housing development, and family support policies. Tokoname is one of the minority of Japanese municipalities projected to grow through 2050.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tokoname?
A.Tokoname's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 25.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 30.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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