Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nara奈良県

Tenri 天理市

Data last updated:

Tenri, Nara, Japan has a population of 59,554 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 55,881 by 2030 and 42,057 by 2050 (a decrease of about 34.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 26.7% in 2020 to 40.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

59,554

2030

(Projection)

55,881

▼ -12.5%

2040

(Projection)

49,072

▼ -23.2%

2050

(Projection)

42,057

▼ -34.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 26.7%→2050 40.6%

Enter your age

See the population of 天理市 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Nara (奈良県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Tenri Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198064,894▲ +1.6%Census
198569,129▲ +8.2%Census
199068,815▲ +7.7%Census
199574,188▲ +16.1%Census
200072,741▲ +13.9%Census
200571,152▲ +11.4%Census
201069,178▲ +8.3%Census
201567,398▲ +5.5%Census
202063,889—Census
202559,554▼ -6.8%Census
203055,881▼ -12.5%Projection
203552,713▼ -17.5%Projection
204049,072▼ -23.2%Projection
204545,434▼ -28.9%Projection
205042,057▼ -34.2%Projection

About Tenri

Overview

Tenri (天理市) is a municipality in Nara, Japan, with a population of 59,554 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tenri

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tenri's population is expected to reach 55,881 by 2030 (-12.5%), 49,072 by 2040 (-23.2%), and 42,057 by 2050 (-34.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Tenri

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 26.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 40.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Tenri's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #920 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1205 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #606 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nara

Earnings in Nara (奈良県): Average salary in Nara (奈良県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tenri, Nara?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tenri has a population of 59,554.
Q.What is the population of Tenri in 2026?
A.Tenri's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 58,819. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (59,554) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (55,881).
Q.What is the projected population of Tenri in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tenri's population is expected to be 55,881 in 2030, 49,072 in 2040, and 42,057 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tenri?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tenri's population is projected to change by -34.2%. The 10-year change is -12.5% and the 20-year change is -23.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Tenri declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tenri, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 26.7% to 40.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tenri?
A.Tenri's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 26.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 40.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Nara

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page