Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nara奈良県

Katsuragi 葛城市

Data last updated:

Katsuragi, Nara, Japan has a population of 36,748 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 36,176 by 2030 and 32,141 by 2050 (a decrease of about 12.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.2% in 2020 to 35.5%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

36,748

2030

(Projection)

36,176

▼ -1.8%

2040

(Projection)

34,280

▼ -6.9%

2050

(Projection)

32,141

▼ -12.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.2%→2050 35.5%

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Other municipalities in Nara (奈良県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Katsuragi Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198029,546▼ -19.8%Census
198532,462▼ -11.9%Census
199033,939▼ -7.9%Census
199534,436▼ -6.5%Census
200034,950▼ -5.1%Census
200534,985▼ -5.0%Census
201035,859▼ -2.6%Census
201536,635▼ -0.5%Census
202036,832—Census
202536,748▼ -0.2%Census
203036,176▼ -1.8%Projection
203535,342▼ -4.0%Projection
204034,280▼ -6.9%Projection
204533,203▼ -9.9%Projection
205032,141▼ -12.7%Projection

About Katsuragi

Overview

Katsuragi (葛城市) is a municipality in Nara, Japan, with a population of 36,748 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Katsuragi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Katsuragi's population is expected to reach 36,176 by 2030 (-1.8%), 34,280 by 2040 (-6.9%), and 32,141 by 2050 (-12.7%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Katsuragi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 35.5% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Katsuragi's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1550 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1585 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #816 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nara

Earnings in Nara (奈良県): Average salary in Nara (奈良県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Katsuragi, Nara?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Katsuragi has a population of 36,748.
Q.What is the population of Katsuragi in 2026?
A.Katsuragi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 36,634. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (36,748) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (36,176).
Q.What is the projected population of Katsuragi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Katsuragi's population is expected to be 36,176 in 2030, 34,280 in 2040, and 32,141 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Katsuragi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Katsuragi's population is projected to change by -12.7%. The 10-year change is -1.8% and the 20-year change is -6.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Katsuragi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Katsuragi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.2% to 35.5% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Katsuragi?
A.Katsuragi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 35.5% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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