Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nara奈良県

Ikoma 生駒市

Data last updated:

Ikoma, Nara, Japan has a population of 114,651 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 111,660 by 2030 and 96,062 by 2050 (a decrease of about 17.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.9% in 2020 to 38.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

114,651

2030

(Projection)

111,660

▼ -4.3%

2040

(Projection)

103,988

▼ -10.9%

2050

(Projection)

96,062

▼ -17.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.9%→2050 38.9%

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Other municipalities in Nara (奈良県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Ikoma Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198070,461▼ -39.6%Census
198586,293▼ -26.0%Census
199099,604▼ -14.6%Census
1995106,726▼ -8.5%Census
2000112,830▼ -3.3%Census
2005113,686▼ -2.6%Census
2010118,113▲ +1.2%Census
2015118,233▲ +1.3%Census
2020116,675—Census
2025114,651▼ -1.7%Census
2030111,660▼ -4.3%Projection
2035107,936▼ -7.5%Projection
2040103,988▼ -10.9%Projection
2045100,082▼ -14.2%Projection
205096,062▼ -17.7%Projection

About Ikoma

Overview

Ikoma (生駒市) is a municipality in Nara, Japan, with a population of 114,651 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Ikoma

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ikoma's population is expected to reach 111,660 by 2030 (-4.3%), 103,988 by 2040 (-10.9%), and 96,062 by 2050 (-17.7%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Ikoma

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 38.9% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Ikoma's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1411 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1354 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #357 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nara

Earnings in Nara (奈良県): Average salary in Nara (奈良県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Ikoma, Nara?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Ikoma has a population of 114,651.
Q.What is the population of Ikoma in 2026?
A.Ikoma's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 114,053. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (114,651) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (111,660).
Q.What is the projected population of Ikoma in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Ikoma's population is expected to be 111,660 in 2030, 103,988 in 2040, and 96,062 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Ikoma?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Ikoma's population is projected to change by -17.7%. The 10-year change is -4.3% and the 20-year change is -10.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Ikoma declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Ikoma, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.9% to 38.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Ikoma?
A.Ikoma's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 38.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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