Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nara奈良県

Uda 宇陀市

Data last updated:

Uda, Nara, Japan has a population of 25,212 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 22,273 by 2030 and 12,070 by 2050 (a decrease of about 57.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 42.1% in 2020 to 59.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

25,212

2030

(Projection)

22,273

▼ -20.8%

2040

(Projection)

16,804

▼ -40.2%

2050

(Projection)

12,070

▼ -57.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 42.1%→2050 59.9%

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Other municipalities in Nara (奈良県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Uda Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198041,101▲ +46.2%Census
198541,874▲ +48.9%Census
199041,736▲ +48.4%Census
199542,035▲ +49.5%Census
200039,762▲ +41.4%Census
200537,183▲ +32.2%Census
201034,227▲ +21.7%Census
201531,105▲ +10.6%Census
202028,121—Census
202525,212▼ -10.3%Census
203022,273▼ -20.8%Projection
203519,513▼ -30.6%Projection
204016,804▼ -40.2%Projection
204514,291▼ -49.2%Projection
205012,070▼ -57.1%Projection

About Uda

Overview

Uda (宇陀市) is a municipality in Nara, Japan, with a population of 25,212 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Uda

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Uda's population is expected to reach 22,273 by 2030 (-20.8%), 16,804 by 2040 (-40.2%), and 12,070 by 2050 (-57.1%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Uda

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 42.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 59.9% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Uda is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #118 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #111 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #990 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nara

Earnings in Nara (奈良県): Average salary in Nara (奈良県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Uda, Nara?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Uda has a population of 25,212.
Q.What is the population of Uda in 2026?
A.Uda's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 24,624. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (25,212) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (22,273).
Q.What is the projected population of Uda in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Uda's population is expected to be 22,273 in 2030, 16,804 in 2040, and 12,070 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Uda?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Uda's population is projected to change by -57.1%. The 10-year change is -20.8% and the 20-year change is -40.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Uda declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Uda, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 42.1% to 59.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Uda?
A.Uda's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 42.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 59.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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