Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nara奈良県

Yoshino 吉野町

Data last updated:

Yoshino, Nara, Japan has a population of 5,221 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 4,507 by 2030 and 1,952 by 2050 (a decrease of about 68.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 52.0% in 2020 to 72.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

5,221

2030

(Projection)

4,507

▼ -27.6%

2040

(Projection)

3,078

▼ -50.6%

2050

(Projection)

1,952

▼ -68.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 52%→2050 72.1%

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Other municipalities in Nara (奈良県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Yoshino Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198015,182▲ +143.7%Census
198514,541▲ +133.4%Census
199013,421▲ +115.5%Census
199512,427▲ +99.5%Census
200011,318▲ +81.7%Census
20059,984▲ +60.3%Census
20108,642▲ +38.7%Census
20157,399▲ +18.8%Census
20206,229—Census
20255,221▼ -16.2%Census
20304,507▼ -27.6%Projection
20353,763▼ -39.6%Projection
20403,078▼ -50.6%Projection
20452,473▼ -60.3%Projection
20501,952▼ -68.7%Projection

About Yoshino

Overview

Yoshino (吉野町) is a municipality in Nara, Japan, with a population of 5,221 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Yoshino

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Yoshino's population is expected to reach 4,507 by 2030 (-27.6%), 3,078 by 2040 (-50.6%), and 1,952 by 2050 (-68.7%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Yoshino

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 52.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 72.1% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Yoshino is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #16 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #5 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1586 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nara

Earnings in Nara (奈良県): Average salary in Nara (奈良県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Yoshino, Nara?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Yoshino has a population of 5,221.
Q.What is the population of Yoshino in 2026?
A.Yoshino's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 5,078. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (5,221) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (4,507).
Q.What is the projected population of Yoshino in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Yoshino's population is expected to be 4,507 in 2030, 3,078 in 2040, and 1,952 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Yoshino?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Yoshino's population is projected to change by -68.7%. The 10-year change is -27.6% and the 20-year change is -50.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Yoshino declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Yoshino, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 52.0% to 72.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Yoshino?
A.Yoshino's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 52.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 72.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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