Japan Population Decline Simulator

Okayama岡山県

Kumenan 久米南町

Data last updated:

Kumenan, Okayama, Japan has a population of 4,041 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,758 by 2030 and 2,559 by 2050 (a decrease of about 43.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 44.9% in 2020 to 50.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

4,041

2030Projection

3,758

▼ -17.0%

2040Projection

3,111

▼ -31.3%

2050Projection

2,559

▼ -43.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 44.9%→2050 50.1%

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Other municipalities in Okayama (岡山県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kumenan Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19807,257▲ +60.2%Census
19857,005▲ +54.6%Census
19906,605▲ +45.8%Census
19956,266▲ +38.3%Census
20006,115▲ +35.0%Census
20055,690▲ +25.6%Census
20105,296▲ +16.9%Census
20154,907▲ +8.3%Census
20204,530—Census
20254,041▼ -10.8%Census
20303,758▼ -17.0%Projection
20353,430▼ -24.3%Projection
20403,111▼ -31.3%Projection
20452,832▼ -37.5%Projection
20502,559▼ -43.5%Projection

About Kumenan

Overview

Kumenan (久米南町) is a municipality in Okayama, Japan, with a population of 4,041 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kumenan

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kumenan's population is expected to reach 3,758 by 2030 (-17.0%), 3,111 by 2040 (-31.3%), and 2,559 by 2050 (-43.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kumenan

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 44.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 50.1% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kumenan is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #584 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #553 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1658 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Okayama

Earnings in Okayama (岡山県): Average salary in Okayama (岡山県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kumenan, Okayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kumenan has a population of 4,041.
Q.What is the population of Kumenan in 2026?
A.Kumenan's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,984. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (4,041) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,758).
Q.What is the projected population of Kumenan in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kumenan's population is expected to be 3,758 in 2030, 3,111 in 2040, and 2,559 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kumenan?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kumenan's population is projected to change by -43.5%. The 10-year change is -17.0% and the 20-year change is -31.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Kumenan declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kumenan, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 44.9% to 50.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kumenan?
A.Kumenan's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 44.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 50.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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