Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kochi高知県

Geisei 芸西村

Data last updated:

Geisei, Kochi, Japan has a population of 3,545 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,319 by 2030 and 2,536 by 2050 (a decrease of about 31.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.3% in 2020 to 46.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

3,545

2030

(Projection)

3,319

▼ -10.2%

2040

(Projection)

2,947

▼ -20.2%

2050

(Projection)

2,536

▼ -31.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 40.3%→2050 46.7%

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Other municipalities in Kochi (高知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Geisei Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19804,653▲ +26.0%Census
19854,739▲ +28.3%Census
19904,539▲ +22.9%Census
19954,383▲ +18.7%Census
20004,366▲ +18.2%Census
20054,208▲ +13.9%Census
20104,048▲ +9.6%Census
20153,858▲ +4.4%Census
20203,694—Census
20253,545▼ -4.0%Census
20303,319▼ -10.2%Projection
20353,142▼ -14.9%Projection
20402,947▼ -20.2%Projection
20452,732▼ -26.0%Projection
20502,536▼ -31.3%Projection

About Geisei

Overview

Geisei (芸西村) is a municipality in Kochi, Japan, with a population of 3,545 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Geisei

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Geisei's population is expected to reach 3,319 by 2030 (-10.2%), 2,947 by 2040 (-20.2%), and 2,536 by 2050 (-31.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Geisei

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 46.7% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Geisei's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1019 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #776 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1690 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kochi

Earnings in Kochi (高知県): Average salary in Kochi (高知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Geisei, Kochi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Geisei has a population of 3,545.
Q.What is the population of Geisei in 2026?
A.Geisei's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,500. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (3,545) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,319).
Q.What is the projected population of Geisei in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Geisei's population is expected to be 3,319 in 2030, 2,947 in 2040, and 2,536 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Geisei?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Geisei's population is projected to change by -31.3%. The 10-year change is -10.2% and the 20-year change is -20.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Geisei declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Geisei, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.3% to 46.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Geisei?
A.Geisei's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 46.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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