Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kochi高知県

Umaji 馬路村

Data last updated:

Umaji, Kochi, Japan has a population of 649 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 568 by 2030 and 343 by 2050 (a decrease of about 54.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.9% in 2020 to 42.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

649

2030

(Projection)

568

▼ -23.8%

2040

(Projection)

444

▼ -40.4%

2050

(Projection)

343

▼ -54.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 40.9%→2050 42.6%

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Other municipalities in Kochi (高知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Umaji Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19801,740▲ +133.6%Census
19851,501▲ +101.5%Census
19901,313▲ +76.2%Census
19951,242▲ +66.7%Census
20001,195▲ +60.4%Census
20051,170▲ +57.0%Census
20101,013▲ +36.0%Census
2015823▲ +10.5%Census
2020745—Census
2025649▼ -12.9%Census
2030568▼ -23.8%Projection
2035498▼ -33.2%Projection
2040444▼ -40.4%Projection
2045392▼ -47.4%Projection
2050343▼ -54.0%Projection

About Umaji

Overview

Umaji (馬路村) is a municipality in Kochi, Japan, with a population of 649 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Umaji

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Umaji's population is expected to reach 568 by 2030 (-23.8%), 444 by 2040 (-40.4%), and 343 by 2050 (-54.0%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Umaji

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 42.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Umaji is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #194 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1051 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1891 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kochi

Earnings in Kochi (高知県): Average salary in Kochi (高知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Umaji, Kochi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Umaji has a population of 649.
Q.What is the population of Umaji in 2026?
A.Umaji's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 633. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (649) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (568).
Q.What is the projected population of Umaji in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Umaji's population is expected to be 568 in 2030, 444 in 2040, and 343 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Umaji?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Umaji's population is projected to change by -54.0%. The 10-year change is -23.8% and the 20-year change is -40.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Umaji declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Umaji, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.9% to 42.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Umaji?
A.Umaji's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 42.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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