Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kochi高知県

Mihara 三原村

Data last updated:

Mihara, Kochi, Japan has a population of 1,272 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 1,161 by 2030 and 721 by 2050 (a decrease of about 49.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 47.0% in 2020 to 58.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

1,272

2030

(Projection)

1,161

▼ -19.2%

2040

(Projection)

930

▼ -35.3%

2050

(Projection)

721

▼ -49.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 47%→2050 58.7%

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Other municipalities in Kochi (高知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Mihara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19802,195▲ +52.7%Census
19852,156▲ +50.0%Census
19902,005▲ +39.5%Census
19951,986▲ +38.2%Census
20001,871▲ +30.2%Census
20051,808▲ +25.8%Census
20101,681▲ +17.0%Census
20151,574▲ +9.5%Census
20201,437—Census
20251,272▼ -11.5%Census
20301,161▼ -19.2%Projection
20351,043▼ -27.4%Projection
2040930▼ -35.3%Projection
2045825▼ -42.6%Projection
2050721▼ -49.8%Projection

About Mihara

Overview

Mihara (三原村) is a municipality in Kochi, Japan, with a population of 1,272 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Mihara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Mihara's population is expected to reach 1,161 by 2030 (-19.2%), 930 by 2040 (-35.3%), and 721 by 2050 (-49.8%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Mihara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 47.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 58.7% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Mihara is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #352 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #152 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1852 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kochi

Earnings in Kochi (高知県): Average salary in Kochi (高知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Mihara, Kochi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Mihara has a population of 1,272.
Q.What is the population of Mihara in 2026?
A.Mihara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 1,250. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (1,272) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (1,161).
Q.What is the projected population of Mihara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Mihara's population is expected to be 1,161 in 2030, 930 in 2040, and 721 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Mihara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Mihara's population is projected to change by -49.8%. The 10-year change is -19.2% and the 20-year change is -35.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Mihara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Mihara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 47.0% to 58.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Mihara?
A.Mihara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 47.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 58.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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