Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kochi高知県

Muroto 室戸市

Data last updated:

Muroto, Kochi, Japan has a population of 9,634 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 8,481 by 2030 and 3,777 by 2050 (a decrease of about 67.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 51.8% in 2020 to 65.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

9,634

2030

(Projection)

8,481

▼ -27.8%

2040

(Projection)

5,769

▼ -50.9%

2050

(Projection)

3,777

▼ -67.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 51.8%→2050 65.7%

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Other municipalities in Kochi (高知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Muroto Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198026,086▲ +122.2%Census
198525,309▲ +115.5%Census
199023,308▲ +98.5%Census
199521,430▲ +82.5%Census
200019,472▲ +65.8%Census
200517,490▲ +49.0%Census
201015,210▲ +29.5%Census
201513,524▲ +15.2%Census
202011,742—Census
20259,634▼ -18.0%Census
20308,481▼ -27.8%Projection
20357,054▼ -39.9%Projection
20405,769▼ -50.9%Projection
20454,683▼ -60.1%Projection
20503,777▼ -67.8%Projection

About Muroto

Overview

Muroto (室戸市) is a municipality in Kochi, Japan, with a population of 9,634 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Muroto

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Muroto's population is expected to reach 8,481 by 2030 (-27.8%), 5,769 by 2040 (-50.9%), and 3,777 by 2050 (-67.8%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Muroto

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 51.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 65.7% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Muroto is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #19 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #32 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1362 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kochi

Earnings in Kochi (高知県): Average salary in Kochi (高知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Muroto, Kochi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Muroto has a population of 9,634.
Q.What is the population of Muroto in 2026?
A.Muroto's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 9,403. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (9,634) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (8,481).
Q.What is the projected population of Muroto in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Muroto's population is expected to be 8,481 in 2030, 5,769 in 2040, and 3,777 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Muroto?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Muroto's population is projected to change by -67.8%. The 10-year change is -27.8% and the 20-year change is -50.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Muroto declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Muroto, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 51.8% to 65.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Muroto?
A.Muroto's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 51.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 65.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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